BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Montana St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 150 Overall: (17-16) Overall Strength =   31.74
Conference: Big Sky Record: (11-9) | District: 1-02 Record: (17-13)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2023 Home    L    30.76  60  68    1  76 ( 16- 17) BYU                    -0.98     -7.02                      
  2 11-10-2023 Away    L    27.51  62  75    1 102 ( 11- 20) Arizona St             -4.23     -8.77                      
  3 11-14-2023 Home    W    31.00  62  49    1 261 (  7- 24) San Jose St            -0.74     13.74                      
  4 11-19-2023 Away    W    26.98  60  53    1 298 (  9- 21) North Dakota           -4.76     11.76                      
  5 11-23-2023 Neutral W    49.15  75  57    1 156 ( 21- 11) New Mexico             17.41      0.59                      
  6 11-24-2023 Neutral L    33.61  62  65    1 114 ( 23- 12) James Madison           1.88     -4.88                      
  7 12-02-2023 Away    L    32.28  64  73    1  97 ( 21- 13) Portland                0.54     -9.54                      
  8 12-05-2023 Away    L    46.43  50  55    1  47 ( 16- 15) Washington             14.70    -19.70                      
  9 12-08-2023 Away    L    24.78  53  59    1 185 ( 13- 18) St Mary's CA           -6.96      0.96                      
 10 12-17-2023 Home    W    42.53  64  55    1 116 ( 18- 15) Wyoming                10.79     -1.79                      
 11 12-21-2023 Home    W    50.89  71  58    1  83 ( 23-  9) North Texas            19.15     -6.15                      
 12 12-29-2023 Home    W *  25.57  58  56    1 213 ( 11- 19) Idaho St               -6.17      8.17                      
 13 12-31-2023 Home    W *  30.99  57  43    1 270 (  8- 25) Weber St               -0.75     14.75                      
 14 01-03-2024 Home    W    54.23  65  45    1 112 ( 22- 12) N Dakota St            22.49     -2.49                      
 15 01-06-2024 Away    L    39.60  53  61    1  61 ( 27-  6) S Dakota St             7.87    -15.87                      
 16 01-11-2024 Away    L *  22.08  73  88    1 128 ( 25- 10) Northern Arizona       -9.66     -5.34                      
 17 01-13-2024 Away    L *  26.34  53  58    1 174 ( 15- 16) N Colorado             -5.40      0.40                      
 18 01-20-2024 Home    W *  43.33  64  55    1 110 ( 23- 10) Montana                11.59     -2.59                      
 19 01-22-2024 Away    L *  19.86  53  62    1 213 ( 11- 19) Idaho St              -11.87      2.87                      
 20 01-25-2024 Home    W *  22.23  60  54    1 277 (  6- 25) CS Sacramento          -9.51     15.51                      
 21 01-27-2024 Home    W *  34.17  71  50    1 316 (  8- 23) Portland St             2.43     18.57                      
 22 02-01-2024 Away    W *  42.86  62  61    1  95 ( 29-  6) E Washington           11.12    -10.12                      
 23 02-03-2024 Away    W *  35.13  51  46    1 191 ( 15- 16) Idaho                   3.39      1.61                      
 24 02-08-2024 Home    W *  47.05  61  40    1 174 ( 15- 16) N Colorado             15.31      5.69                      
 25 02-10-2024 Home    L *  18.79  58  71    1 128 ( 25- 10) Northern Arizona      -12.95     -0.05                      
 26 02-17-2024 Away    L *  17.62  50  72    1 110 ( 23- 10) Montana               -14.11     -7.89                      
 27 02-22-2024 Away    L *  13.46  55  60    1 316 (  8- 23) Portland St           -18.27     13.27                      
 28 02-24-2024 Away    W *  25.52  55  51    1 277 (  6- 25) CS Sacramento          -6.22     10.22                      
 29 02-29-2024 Home    L *  19.83  53  58    1 191 ( 15- 16) Idaho                 -11.91      6.91                      
 30 03-02-2024 Home    L *  34.57  50  52    1  95 ( 29-  6) E Washington            2.83     -4.83                      
 31 03-04-2024 Away    W *  24.28  67  65    1 270 (  8- 25) Weber St               -7.46      9.46                      
 32 03-11-2024 Neutral W *  31.69  47  44 1  1 174 ( 15- 16) N Colorado             -0.04      3.04                      
 33 03-12-2024 Neutral L *  22.22  39  56    1  95 ( 29-  6) E Washington           -9.52     -7.48                      
      Averages              31.74  58.7 58.0

Best game:   54.23 = 20 point win over N Dakota St
Worst game:  13.46 = 5 point loss to Portland St
Team stdev:  10.61